By Bill Remy
A recent Wall Street Journal article reported that quarterly profits and revenue at big American companies are poised to decline for the first time since the recession, as some industrial firms warn of a pullback in spending. The authors point out that industrial companies are being buffeted on multiple fronts: slumping energy prices, the economic slowdowns in China and Brazil, a strong dollar, and the potential for rising interest rates.
According to the article, “U.S. manufacturing production rose in September at its slowest pace in more than two years and customer inventories remain high.” Charlie Smith, chief investment officer at Fort Pitt Capital Group said, “The ability for corporations to take a 1% to 2% revenue line [gain] and turn it into 5% to 6% profit growth is waning.”
For many companies this time is the heart of the 2016 forecasting, planning and budgeting season. Business leaders are busy setting revenue targets, finalizing capital improvement plans and allocating business unit and department budgets for next year. Estimating potential efficiency gains is an important element of this process.
When setting productivity improvement targets, we’ve found that most companies set their sights too low. They often budget for 2% productivity gains, or maybe shoot as high as 4%. If you really want to release employee creativity and build a market advantage, business leaders should set their annual productivity targets higher, say somewhere between 6-8%.
In moderate- to low-growth environments, productivity improvements will enhance asset utilization and reduce operating costs. Productivity growth can help to offset negative external factors such as raw material price increases and fluctuations in foreign exchange rates. Don’t just look for productivity improvements on the shop floor. Consider seeking out opportunities to streamline administrative processes in accounting, customer service, and sales and marketing.
Here are three things you should consider when operating in periods of low growth:
Create the agility you need to adapt quickly to changing business conditions. Whether you’re already embracing a lean approach, or just thinking about it, a focus on rightsizing will drive immediate results that include: rapidly reducing working capital, identifying and eliminating hidden costs that consume cash, and improving liquidity by quickly converting assets into cash. You can do this by focusing on inventory, receivables, floor space and quality to find the cash you can’t see.
Customers often choose to purchase from organizations with faster lead times versus lower costs. Faster lead times often equate to significant competitive advantage. This helps organizations in slow growth periods to take a larger share of market when others can’t compete.
Reliability and responsiveness are a foundation for growth. Neither can be taken for granted. A problem we frequently encounter is that organizations become complacent. Their measurement and feedback systems have atrophied from lack of use and reliability, and responsiveness has suffered. Companies that were once lean tend to lose their way, and managers who have been waiting for an excuse to trash lean often pounce on declining performance as a sign that the lean transformation has run its course.
If you, like many industrial manufacturers, are facing a prolonged period of slow growth, get uncomfortable and start thinking of how to take advantage of the situation by outthinking and outperforming your competition. Set your productivity goals to uncomfortable levels and get your team members thinking about creative approaches to stretch beyond the norm. Make sure that a lean-based management system is in place, that everyone understands their role, and that all measures are clearly aligned to performance improvement activities. When you do all that (and it’s not easy), you’ll be ready to accelerate growth even when others are stalling.
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